# EXTRINSIC AND INTRINSIC DYNAMICS IN DEMOGRAPHY

> **NIH NIH R01** · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · 1993 · $87,369

## Abstract

DESCRIPTION:  (Adapted From The Applicant's Abstract) The aim of this
project is to extend and develop the dynamic analysis and application of
models of human demography building on the investigator's previous work.
The specific aims are:  (1) to develop and apply feedback models of
controlled populations to contemporary and historical populations; (2) to
extend the analysis and application of stochastic population models in the
area of forecasting; and (3) to study the dynamics and application of
demographic models of childhood infectious disease.  The specific goals of
the work on feedback models of controlled populations are:  (a) analysis of
stochastically perturbed nonlinear models which are below the threshold of
internally sustained cycles; (b) analysis of models which incorporate
feedback in the timing and level of reproduction; (c) application of the
models in a) and b) to recent experience in the U.S. and several European
populations; and (d) analysis, application and testing of a marriage
regulation model of Henry and Bonneuil using reconstructed population data
from seventeenth century France.

The specific goals of the work on stochastic models are:  a) analysis of
the properties of stochastic versions of population momentum and
reproductive value; b) application of these developments and extant
stochastic theory to forecasts of age-composition and population size in
the U.S. in the near and middle term.  The specific goal of the work on
demographic-epidemiological models is to explore the linkage between
demographic fluctuations and epidemiological fluctuations with application
to specific data.

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 2197337
- **Project number:** 5R01HD016640-10
- **Recipient organization:** STANFORD UNIVERSITY
- **SAM.gov UEI:** HJD6G4D6TJY5
- **Principal Investigator:** SHRIPAD D. TULJAPURKAR
- **Activity code:** R01 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 1993
- **Award amount:** $87,369
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 1982-08-01 → 1995-07-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/2197337

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 2197337, EXTRINSIC AND INTRINSIC DYNAMICS IN DEMOGRAPHY (5R01HD016640-10). Retrieved via MORVS 2026-10-25 from https://api.morvs.ai/grant/nih/2197337. Licensed CC0.

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